What WON’T Happen in AI in 2023

An end-of-year newsletter challenges several common predictions for 2023, arguing that ChatGPT will not replace Google because conversational AI still lacks sufficient accuracy, transparency, and understanding of user needs. It also predicts that fully autonomous vehicles will remain limited by technical challenges involving weather, construction, complex road conditions, and regulation, preventing widespread adoption. Stable Diffusion and similar generative-image models are expected to remain primarily artistic tools, as specialized applications such as medicine require domain-specific knowledge and reliable clinical validation. The ongoing conflict between artists and AI companies over training data, copyright, and consent is unlikely to be resolved quickly, although opt-out mechanisms may become more common. Finally, the piece anticipates expanding AI regulation in response to growing public and governmental concern over the technology’s societal effects.

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