Time Series Prediction: How Is It Different From Other Machine Learning? [ML Engineer Explains]
Blog post from Neptune.ai
Time series prediction, a crucial concept for data scientists and machine learning engineers, involves forecasting future data points based on historical time-indexed data, distinguishing it from static data predictions. In contrast to static data, time-series data is dynamic, requiring specific preprocessing techniques like rolling mean and interpolation for missing data, and specialized feature engineering methods to handle time-based attributes. Key components of time-series data include trend, seasonality, remainder, cycle, and stationarity, which are vital for analyzing and fitting appropriate models. Unlike static machine learning models, time-series forecasting utilizes unique algorithms like ARIMA, Exponential Smoothing, and LSTM to encapsulate temporal patterns, with evaluation metrics such as Mean Squared Error and Residual Diagnostics to assess model performance. Best practices emphasize understanding the problem domain, careful feature selection, managing overfitting, preprocessing data, and addressing anomalies to improve forecasting accuracy. Overall, while foundational principles overlap between time-series and static data analysis, the methodologies diverge significantly to cater to the inherent characteristics of time-series data.