Predicting the latest OWASP Top 10 with CVE data
Blog post from AuthZed
The text discusses an attempt to predict the upcoming OWASP Top 10 list of the most critical security risks to web applications, using CVE data from 2022 to 2025. The OWASP Top 10, updated periodically, is crucial for organizations prioritizing security. The author, not a data scientist but an enthusiast, used CVE data to map vulnerabilities to OWASP categories. The analysis revealed that "Broken Access Control" and "Injection" had the highest occurrences, suggesting they will likely feature prominently in the new list. The author predicts that the top five categories will include "Software and Data Integrity Failures," "Security Misconfigurations," "Insecure Design," "Injection," and "Broken Access Control," with the latter expected to be particularly significant due to the increasing integration of AI in production systems. However, the author acknowledges that the OWASP methodology also considers factors beyond frequency, such as severity and community input, which were not accounted for in this analysis.
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